CD Villa vs Socuéllamos Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives CD Villa a 35% home win probability and the draw another 35%, leaving Socuéllamos at 30%, so the recommended combo of CD Villa or draw with under 3.5 goals reflects a marginal edge rather than a clear favourite. That narrow split is consistent with the comparison metrics, where form is level at 50.00 for both sides, but the attack and defence splits diverge sharply: CD Villa's attack rating of 67.00 against Socuéllamos's 33.00, and CD Villa's defensive 20.00 against Socuéllamos's 80.00, point to a home side more capable of creating and limiting chances. The Poisson, head-to-head and goals comparison columns all read 0.00, and the head-to-head record is empty, so those sections offer no usable signal and the case rests on form, attack, defence and the recent match logs. CD Villa's last three show a win, loss, loss pattern (LWL), with a 1-0 home win over Guadalajara II followed by away defeats of 2-1 at Tarancón and 2-0 at Marchamalo, meaning their single victory came at home and their away form is the weak point. Socuéllamos, by contrast, are DDD across their last three league games, drawing 1-1 with Torrijos and 0-0 with both Illescas and Villarrobledo, and their wider last-five includes two further draws and a 2-0 win at Rayo Vallecano II, so they are hard to beat but have scored only once in their last three. The goals analysis reinforces that low-scoring profile: CD Villa average 0.70 goals for and 1.30 against, with all four goals conceded spread evenly across the 0-15, 16-30, 31-45 and 76-90 windows, while Socuéllamos average just 0.30 for and 0.30 against. Socuéllamos's defensive solidity is visible in two clean sheets from three games and only one goal conceded, but they have failed to score in two of three, which tempers any away-win case and supports the draw component of the advice. CD Villa's home record of one win from one, with a clean sheet and no home goals conceded, is a small but favourable sample that aligns with the home-or-draw recommendation, though their two away losses show the sample is thin. The under 3.5 goals element is well supported, since neither side has exceeded 1.5 goals in any of their three matches and Socuéllamos have yet to score more than once, so the combined advice looks internally coherent even though the probabilities remain close enough that the outcome is far from certain.

Predicted winner

CD Villa

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : CD Villa or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.