Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Cavese vs Savoia Prediction
· Stadio Simonetta Lamberti
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Savoia with a “win or draw” double chance, assigning 45% to both the draw and an away win while Cavese carries only 10%, so the advice is essentially a bet against a home victory rather than a strong call on Savoia winning outright. That caution is echoed by the comparison metrics, where Savoia’s form (55.00) and Poisson (59.00) edges are modest, and the aggregate totals of 55.30 versus 44.80 suggest only a mild overall advantage rather than dominance. The most striking split within those metrics is that Cavese rates far higher on attack (62.00 versus 38.00) while Savoia rates far higher on defence (69.00 versus 31.00), meaning the two teams’ strengths are complementary and could cancel each other out. Cavese’s recent form of LWDDLL and Savoia’s LLWDDD both contain three winless results in the last five, which supports the draw-heavy 45% probability but also shows neither side arrives in convincing shape. The goals analysis reinforces that tension: Cavese scores 1.30 per game but concedes 2.00, while Savoia scores 1.20 and concedes 1.20, so Cavese’s greater attacking output is offset by a leakier defence that has shipped twelve goals in six matches. Savoia’s defensive record is partly built on two clean sheets, both away from home, and their last five include 0-0 and 2-0 away results plus a 3-0 win at Catania, which gives some substance to the away-side lean. Cavese’s last five, by contrast, include a 3-1 home win over Audace Cerignola but also a 2-3 home loss to Sorrento and a 2-4 defeat at Potenza, underlining that their home fixtures have produced goals at both ends rather than control. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to confirm or contradict the model’s read, and the goals comparison fields for both teams are also zero, leaving the head-to-head and goals-based comparison dimensions effectively unavailable. Overall, the evidence supports a low-confidence lean toward Savoia avoiding defeat, but the draw probability, the split attack-versus-defence profiles, and the absence of head-to-head data mean the model’s advice should be treated as tentative rather than a firm edge.
- Predicted winner
- Savoia
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Savoia
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cavese | Savoia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Poisson | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cavese
Recent form: LWDDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Savoia
Recent form: LLWDDD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


