Catania vs Crotone Prediction
· Stadio Angelo Massimino
Match prediction
- Catania's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home side, but the model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each.
- Crotone's strong head-to-head record, including wins in the last two meetings, is the main counterweight to Catania's statistical edge.
- Crotone's low win rate and three draws in seven matches reinforce the draw half of the double chance advice.
- Catania's home form is mixed with two losses in four, so the draw probability is not merely a residual outcome.
- Both teams' goal totals stay under 2.5 in most matches, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest that favours avoiding a single-winner bet.
- The double chance on Catania or draw is the prudent expression of a fixture where home advantage and head-to-head history pull in opposite directions.
- Predicted winner
- Catania
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Catania or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Catania | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Defence | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Catania
Recent form: LLWLWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Crotone
Recent form: LLDDLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Crotone 2–0 Catania (13 Apr 2026)
- Catania 2–0 Crotone (05 Dec 2025)
- Crotone 1–0 Catania (17 Aug 2025)
- Catania 0–0 Crotone (23 Mar 2025)
- Crotone 3–2 Catania (10 Nov 2024)