Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Caspe vs Épila Prediction
Match prediction
- Épila's stronger recent form and superior head-to-head record justify the away lean, though Caspe's unbeaten home record adds draw risk.
- The model's equal 45% split between away win and draw directly supports the double chance advice rather than a straight Épila win.
- Caspe's attack rating exceeds Épila's, but their away scoring average is half their home output, weakening their case on the road.
- Both defences rate identically, yet Épila's away clean sheets and Caspe's home solidity suggest a low-scoring, tight contest.
- Caspe's home form includes a win and a draw without defeat, which explains why the model assigns only 10% to an Épila victory.
- Head-to-head results show alternating home advantage, so the venue context tempers Épila's overall historical edge.
- Predicted winner
- Épila
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Épila
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Caspe | Épila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Total | 41.2% | 58.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Caspe
Recent form: WLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Épila
Recent form: WDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Caspe 2–1 Épila (01 Feb 2026)
- Épila 0–0 Caspe (21 Sep 2025)
- Épila 1–0 Caspe (23 Feb 2025)
- Caspe 0–1 Épila (13 Oct 2024)
- Épila 2–0 Caspe (10 Feb 2024)