Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B
Čáslav vs Velké Hamry Prediction
· Stadion Pod Hradkem
Match prediction
- The model gives Čáslav and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects near-equal win and stalemate likelihoods rather than a clear home edge.
- Velké Hamry's five defeats in six and 4.00 away goals conceded per game justify the low 10% away win probability.
- Čáslav's recent wins over Neratovice and Horní Ředice contrast with a 7-0 loss at Pardubice, suggesting volatile form that supports covering the draw.
- Both attacks average under one goal per game, reinforcing why the model treats a stalemate as equally likely as a home victory.
- Head-to-head results split evenly across ten meetings, weakening any assumption that Čáslav's home venue provides decisive historical advantage.
- Velké Hamry's 21 goals conceded and five failures to score indicate defensive fragility, yet Čáslav's own scoring limits cap the home win probability at 45%.
- Predicted winner
- Čáslav
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Čáslav or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Čáslav | Velké Hamry |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Poisson | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Čáslav
Recent form: DLLLDWW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Velké Hamry
Recent form: LLLLLDLW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Čáslav 3–2 Velké Hamry (05 May 2024)
- Velké Hamry 1–0 Čáslav (08 Oct 2023)
- Čáslav 1–0 Velké Hamry (19 Mar 2023)
- Velké Hamry 1–0 Čáslav (20 Aug 2022)
- Čáslav 0–0 Velké Hamry (10 Apr 2022)


