Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B

Čáslav vs Velké Hamry Prediction

· Stadion Pod Hradkem

Čáslav badgeČáslav vs Velké Hamry badgeVelké Hamry

Match prediction

  • The model gives Čáslav and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects near-equal win and stalemate likelihoods rather than a clear home edge.
  • Velké Hamry's five defeats in six and 4.00 away goals conceded per game justify the low 10% away win probability.
  • Čáslav's recent wins over Neratovice and Horní Ředice contrast with a 7-0 loss at Pardubice, suggesting volatile form that supports covering the draw.
  • Both attacks average under one goal per game, reinforcing why the model treats a stalemate as equally likely as a home victory.
  • Head-to-head results split evenly across ten meetings, weakening any assumption that Čáslav's home venue provides decisive historical advantage.
  • Velké Hamry's 21 goals conceded and five failures to score indicate defensive fragility, yet Čáslav's own scoring limits cap the home win probability at 45%.
Predicted winner
Čáslav
Betting advice
Double chance : Čáslav or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorČáslavVelké Hamry
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence48.0%52.0%
Poisson83.0%17.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total58.3%41.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Čáslav

Recent form: DLLLDWW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Velké Hamry

Recent form: LLLLLDLW.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Čáslav 3–2 Velké Hamry (05 May 2024)
  2. Velké Hamry 1–0 Čáslav (08 Oct 2023)
  3. Čáslav 1–0 Velké Hamry (19 Mar 2023)
  4. Velké Hamry 1–0 Čáslav (20 Aug 2022)
  5. Čáslav 0–0 Velké Hamry (10 Apr 2022)
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