New-Zealand · National League - National
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win probability is only level with the draw, so the Cashmere Technical advice carries clear uncertainty.
- Cashmere Technical's superior form, attack and defence ratings support the pick, though those ratings rest on very small samples.
- Wellington Phoenix II's head-to-head edge and goal-share advantage conflict with the home-favouring comparison metrics, weakening confidence in the advice.
- Both sides' recent records are thin and inconsistent, so the statistical gap between them may overstate the true difference.
- The draw's equal 45% probability suggests the model sees a genuine toss-up rather than a decisive home advantage.
- Predicted winner
- Cashmere Technical
- Betting advice
- Winner : Cashmere Technical
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cashmere Technical | Wellington Phoenix II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Defence | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Goals | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cashmere Technical
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.
Wellington Phoenix II
Recent form: D.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cashmere Technical 0–4 Wellington Phoenix II (06 Oct 2024)
- Cashmere Technical 2–1 Wellington Phoenix II (21 Oct 2023)
- Cashmere Technical 1–3 Wellington Phoenix II (20 Nov 2022)