Northern-Ireland · Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC Prediction
· Loughview Leisure Arena
Match prediction
- Crusaders' far stronger recent form and superior attack ratings support their favored status, though the draw carries equal probability.
- Carrick's poor home defence, conceding 2.5 goals per game there, strengthens the case for Crusaders avoiding defeat.
- Crusaders' away form is notably weaker than their home record, which tempers confidence and helps explain the elevated draw probability.
- Head-to-head and goals metrics lean toward Carrick, creating a genuine conflict with the form-based prediction and justifying the cautious double chance.
- Both teams' low-scoring tendencies and Carrick's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a tight match where the draw remains a live outcome.
- Crusaders' habit of scoring late, combined with Carrick's early concessions, points to a game that could stay undecided for long stretches.
- Predicted winner
- Crusaders FC
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Crusaders FC
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Carrick Rangers | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 43.3% | 56.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Carrick Rangers
Recent form: WWLWLLDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Crusaders FC
Recent form: LWWWLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Carrick Rangers 6–1 Crusaders FC (28 Mar 2026)
- Crusaders FC 2–2 Carrick Rangers (30 Dec 2025)
- Carrick Rangers 1–2 Crusaders FC (08 Nov 2025)
- Crusaders FC 3–4 Carrick Rangers (09 Aug 2025)
- Carrick Rangers 0–0 Crusaders FC (30 Dec 2024)


