Northern-Ireland · Premiership

Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC Prediction

· Loughview Leisure Arena

Carrick Rangers badgeCarrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC badgeCrusaders FC

Match prediction

  • Crusaders' far stronger recent form and superior attack ratings support their favored status, though the draw carries equal probability.
  • Carrick's poor home defence, conceding 2.5 goals per game there, strengthens the case for Crusaders avoiding defeat.
  • Crusaders' away form is notably weaker than their home record, which tempers confidence and helps explain the elevated draw probability.
  • Head-to-head and goals metrics lean toward Carrick, creating a genuine conflict with the form-based prediction and justifying the cautious double chance.
  • Both teams' low-scoring tendencies and Carrick's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a tight match where the draw remains a live outcome.
  • Crusaders' habit of scoring late, combined with Carrick's early concessions, points to a game that could stay undecided for long stretches.
Predicted winner
Crusaders FC
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Crusaders FC
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorCarrick RangersCrusaders FC
Form14.0%86.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson46.0%54.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total43.3%56.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Carrick Rangers

Recent form: WWLWLLDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Crusaders FC

Recent form: LWWWLLWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Carrick Rangers 6–1 Crusaders FC (28 Mar 2026)
  2. Crusaders FC 2–2 Carrick Rangers (30 Dec 2025)
  3. Carrick Rangers 1–2 Crusaders FC (08 Nov 2025)
  4. Crusaders FC 3–4 Carrick Rangers (09 Aug 2025)
  5. Carrick Rangers 0–0 Crusaders FC (30 Dec 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…