Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw probability matches the home win, so the double-chance advice mainly protects against the equally likely stalemate.
- Cariari Pococi's attack rating of 64 versus Santa Ana's 36 supports the home side's edge, though the model still caps its win probability at 45%.
- Santa Ana's away form shows three losses and three scoreless away games, reinforcing why the model favors Cariari Pococi or draw.
- Head-to-head is split evenly at 50-50, with three of the last five meetings drawn, which qualifies the home advantage.
- Both teams share 50% recent form, so the prediction rests more on attack and away-scoring weaknesses than on momentum.
- Cariari Pococi's defence rating of 46 is weaker than Santa Ana's 54, a conflict that helps explain the elevated draw probability.
- Predicted winner
- Cariari Pococi
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Cariari Pococi or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cariari Pococi | Santa Ana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cariari Pococi
Recent form: WWDDDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Santa Ana
Recent form: WWWLWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Santa Ana 1–1 Cariari Pococi (10 Mar 2026)
- Cariari Pococi 4–1 Santa Ana (18 Jan 2026)
- Cariari Pococi 1–1 Santa Ana (08 Oct 2025)
- Santa Ana 2–2 Cariari Pococi (26 Aug 2025)
- Santa Ana 2–0 Cariari Pococi (20 Mar 2024)