Cardoso Moreira vs Serra Macaense Prediction
Match prediction
- Cardoso Moreira's perfect five-win form and three clean sheets justify favouring them, though the draw's equal 45% probability tempers that edge.
- Serra Macaense's two recent wins show scoring threat, but their leaky defence and away form keep the double chance necessary.
- The model's 45% draw probability matches the home win exactly, explaining why the advice pairs Cardoso Moreira with the draw.
- Every match for both teams stayed under 3.5 goals, strongly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Cardoso Moreira's defence rating of 75 against Serra Macaense's 25 is the clearest split, reinforcing the home-or-draw lean.
- Serra Macaense's missed penalty and failure to score in one home game hint at wastefulness that supports the cautious double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Cardoso Moreira
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Cardoso Moreira or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cardoso Moreira | Serra Macaense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 62.7% | 37.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cardoso Moreira
Recent form: WWWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Serra Macaense
Recent form: LDLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.