Cardassar vs Alcúdia Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Cardassar's win-or-draw outcome covers 70% of modelled scenarios.
• Cardassar's superior defensive rating and two home clean sheets support the low-scoring half of the advice, despite Alcudia's stronger attack metric.
• Alcudia's recent back-to-back defeats and away loss at Constància weaken their case, reinforcing Cardassar's favoured status in the double chance.
• Cardassar's four-match record shows only one defeat and two clean sheets, a small but consistent sample supporting the defensive side of the prediction.
• Head-to-head history favours Alcudia across four meetings, a meaningful counterweight that explains why the model stops short of backing a Cardassar win outright.
• Both teams' goal distributions cluster heavily under 3.5, making the -3.5 goals component the most statistically coherent part of the combined advice.

Predicted winner

Cardassar

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Cardassar or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Cardassar 0–1 Alcúdia (25 Jan 2026)
2. Alcúdia 1–3 Cardassar (13 Sep 2025)
3. Alcúdia 2–1 Cardassar (05 Jun 2021)
4. Cardassar 2–2 Alcúdia (02 May 2021)