Cappellen vs Eendracht Termien Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Eendracht Termien with a draw-or-away double chance plus over 1.5 goals, assigning 45% to both the draw and an away win while Cappellen carries only 10%, so the advice is essentially a hedge against a home victory. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Eendracht Termien dominates form (78 vs 22), attack (73 vs 27), goals (73 vs 27) and the head-to-head score (100 vs 0), though the Poisson split is far tighter at 53–47 in Cappellen's favour, which is the main internal conflict in the evidence. Cappellen's four league matches produced no wins, two draws and two defeats, with a 1.00 goals-per-game average and 2.30 conceded, and their last five include a 0-4 loss at Wilrijk, a 1-2 home defeat to Rupel Boom, goalless and 3-3 draws, and a 0-6 cup loss to K. Lierse S.K. Eendracht Termien's record is more mixed than the headline numbers suggest: two home wins, one away draw and one away loss, with 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded per game, and their away form is the weak point, featuring a 2-5 defeat at Diegem Sport and a 2-2 draw at Tongeren. Their home form is emphatic, with a 4-0 win over Rupel Boom and a 3-1 win over Sint-Truiden II, and they have scored in every match while Cappellen have failed to score twice, which supports the over 1.5 goals element of the advice. The head-to-head record is only two matches but points clearly one way: Eendracht Termien won 6-2 at home in September 2025 and then won 2-1 away at Cappellen in February 2026, matching the 100–0 h2h split. The defensive comparison is the closest of the metrics at 47 versus 53, and Cappellen's home defensive numbers (2.50 conceded per game) are worse than their away figures, which slightly undercuts any home-advantage argument. Overall, the form, goals and head-to-head evidence align with the draw-or-away and over 1.5 goals advice, but the Poisson edge to Cappellen and Eendracht Termien's poor away results mean the away win should be treated as far less certain than the double chance implies.

Predicted winner

Eendracht Termien

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Eendracht Termien and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Cappellen 1–2 Eendracht Termien (07 Feb 2026)
2. Eendracht Termien 6–2 Cappellen (28 Sep 2025)