Canada vs Peru Prediction
Match prediction
- Canada's unbeaten six-match form and four home clean sheets support the double-chance advice, though three draws show the win is far from certain.
- Peru's leaky defence, conceding 2.2 goals per game with no clean sheets, makes a Canada result more likely than the 45% home probability alone suggests.
- The model's equal 45% home and draw probabilities justify covering both outcomes rather than backing Canada outright.
- Peru's attack rating slightly exceeds Canada's, but their defensive collapse against USA and Spain undermines any away threat.
- Canada's goals cluster late, with half arriving after 61 minutes, so the match may stay level before the result materialises.
- The lone head-to-head, Canada's 1-0 Copa America win, is too small a sample to carry much predictive weight.
- Predicted winner
- Canada
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Canada or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Canada | Peru |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Poisson | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Canada
Recent form: WDDWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Peru
Recent form: LDWLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Peru 0–1 Canada (27 Jun 2024)