Serie D - Girone C · Italy

Campodarsego vs Legnago Salus Prediction

Campodarsego badgeCampodarsego vs Legnago Salus badgeLegnago Salus

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Campodarsego as a combo winner with over 1.5 goals, but its own probabilities are unusually cautious: 45% home, 45% draw and only 10% away, so the nominal pick is better read as a slight home edge than a clear favourite. That caution is partly explained by the comparison metrics, where Campodarsego leads on form (69 vs 31), attack (64 vs 36), defence (54 vs 46) and especially Poisson (86 vs 14), yet Legnago Salus dominates the head-to-head split 71 to 29 and the goals comparison 62 to 38, creating a genuine tension between current-season signals and historical match-up data. Campodarsego's four-game record of WLWW, with two home wins and no home defeats, supports the home side, while Legnago Salus's LDWL shows only one win and two losses, though their away form is actually their stronger side, with a 2-3 win at Altavilla and a 3-1 loss at Luparense. The goals analysis reinforces the over 1.5 element: Campodarsego have scored nine goals in four games (2.30 per game) and have gone over 1.5 in three of four, while Legnago Salus have scored five (1.30 per game) and conceded seven, including over 0.5 goals against in all four matches. Defensively the gap is stark, with Campodarsego conceding just 1.50 per game overall and only 0.50 at home, compared with Legnago Salus's 1.80 overall and 2.50 away, which helps explain the Poisson and form gaps. The last-five records add nuance rather than certainty: Campodarsego have four wins in five, including a 4-0 home win over Conegliano and a 4-1 home win over Cjarlins Muzane, but also a 4-1 away defeat to the same opponent, while Legnago Salus have lost three of five, including 1-0 at home to Calvi Noale and 3-1 to Mantova. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, as Legnago Salus won the most recent meeting 2-1 in January 2026 and also won 2-0 in February 2023, although Campodarsego won 3-2 at home in September 2025 and 2-1 at home in October 2022, so home advantage has often mattered in this fixture. Overall, the evidence supports a home-leaning, goals-oriented prediction, but the 45% draw probability and Legnago Salus's 71% head-to-head share mean the advice should be treated as a modest lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner
Campodarsego
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Campodarsego and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorCampodarsegoLegnago Salus
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson86.0%14.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals38.0%62.0%
Total56.7%43.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Campodarsego

Recent form: WLWW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Legnago Salus

Recent form: LDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Legnago Salus 2–1 Campodarsego (18 Jan 2026)
  2. Campodarsego 2–3 Legnago Salus (20 Sep 2025)
  3. Legnago Salus 2–0 Campodarsego (26 Feb 2023)
  4. Campodarsego 2–1 Legnago Salus (23 Oct 2022)
  5. Legnago Salus —–— Campodarsego (09 Apr 2020)
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