Brazil · Carioca - 2

Campo Grande vs Petrópolis Prediction

Campo Grande badgeCampo Grande vs Petrópolis badgePetrópolis

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a marginal Campo Grande edge.
  • Campo Grande's perfect home record and Petrópolis's away clean sheets both point toward a tight, low-scoring contest.
  • Every under-3.5 goal line in the sample stayed under, reinforcing the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Petrópolis's superior form and away defence offset Campo Grande's home advantage, explaining why the win probability is not higher.
  • The head-to-head sample is a single match, so it supports Campo Grande only weakly and should not be over-weighted.
  • Campo Grande's attack and Petrópolis's defence are evenly rated, suggesting the draw is a genuine threat to the win side of the combo.
Predicted winner
Campo Grande
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Campo Grande or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorCampo GrandePetrópolis
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total45.0%55.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Campo Grande

Recent form: WLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Petrópolis

Recent form: DDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Petrópolis 0–1 Campo Grande (08 Nov 2025)
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