Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21 Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities against 30% away justify the double-chance advice, since the two favoured outcomes cover most of the distribution.
- Cambuur's superior attack and defence ratings, plus a 50.8 total edge, support their inclusion despite Groningen's 60% head-to-head advantage.
- Both teams scoring heavily in recent matches, with Cambuur averaging three goals and Groningen two, makes the +1.5 goals component well supported.
- Groningen's stronger head-to-head record and Cambuur's leaky away defence qualify the home pick, explaining why the draw is retained as cover.
- Cambuur's away form of two wins from three, including a 5-0 and 4-1, shows their threat travels, reinforcing the double-chance selection.
- Groningen's 4-0 win and 0-3 loss in recent home games show volatility, so the draw probability reasonably matches the home win probability.
- Predicted winner
- Cambuur U21
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Cambuur U21 or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cambuur U21 | Groningen U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cambuur U21
Recent form: WDLW.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Groningen U21
Recent form: WWLD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Groningen U21 3–1 Cambuur U21 (18 Apr 2026)
- Cambuur U21 4–1 Groningen U21 (03 Mar 2026)
- Cambuur U21 0–3 Groningen U21 (15 Nov 2025)
- Groningen U21 2–1 Cambuur U21 (04 Oct 2025)
- Cambuur U21 3–0 Groningen U21 (03 May 2025)