Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

Calasancio vs Casalarreina Prediction

Calasancio badgeCalasancio vs Casalarreina badgeCasalarreina

Match prediction

  • The model gives Casalarreina and the draw equal 45% shares, so the double-chance advice reflects near-parity rather than clear away superiority.
  • Casalarreina's stronger recent form and superior head-to-head record support avoiding a home win, though their three defeats in four temper confidence.
  • Calasancio's attack rating exceeds Casalarreina's, but their winless four-match start and heavy loss at Calahorra undercut that edge.
  • Both sides concede frequently, with Casalarreina's away defensive record especially poor, which raises draw risk within the double chance.
  • The head-to-head sample is small and dated to earlier seasons, so it strengthens the away lean only modestly.
  • Casalarreina's lone win came away from home, a minor signal that their better results may travel despite overall inconsistency.
Predicted winner
Casalarreina
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Casalarreina
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorCalasancioCasalarreina
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence48.0%52.0%
Poisson45.0%55.0%
H2h9.0%91.0%
Goals14.0%86.0%
Total36.5%63.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Calasancio

Recent form: DLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Casalarreina

Recent form: WLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Calasancio 0–2 Casalarreina (17 Mar 2021)
  2. Casalarreina 1–0 Calasancio (15 Nov 2020)
  3. Calasancio 0–2 Casalarreina (16 Feb 2020)
  4. Casalarreina 1–1 Calasancio (29 Sep 2019)
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