Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Casalarreina Prediction
Match prediction
- The model gives Casalarreina and the draw equal 45% shares, so the double-chance advice reflects near-parity rather than clear away superiority.
- Casalarreina's stronger recent form and superior head-to-head record support avoiding a home win, though their three defeats in four temper confidence.
- Calasancio's attack rating exceeds Casalarreina's, but their winless four-match start and heavy loss at Calahorra undercut that edge.
- Both sides concede frequently, with Casalarreina's away defensive record especially poor, which raises draw risk within the double chance.
- The head-to-head sample is small and dated to earlier seasons, so it strengthens the away lean only modestly.
- Casalarreina's lone win came away from home, a minor signal that their better results may travel despite overall inconsistency.
- Predicted winner
- Casalarreina
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Casalarreina
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Calasancio | Casalarreina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Poisson | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| H2h | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| Goals | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Calasancio
Recent form: DLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Casalarreina
Recent form: WLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Calasancio 0–2 Casalarreina (17 Mar 2021)
- Casalarreina 1–0 Calasancio (15 Nov 2020)
- Calasancio 0–2 Casalarreina (16 Feb 2020)
- Casalarreina 1–1 Calasancio (29 Sep 2019)


