Calahorra vs Calasancio Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Calahorra, with a 45% home win probability and a matching 45% draw probability, leaving Calasancio at just 10%, and the advice combines a Calahorra win with over 1.5 goals. That split between home and draw is notable because the comparison metrics are far less ambiguous, showing Calahorra ahead on form (75 versus 25), attack (62 versus 38), defence (55 versus 45), and a Poisson split of 100 versus 0, while the head-to-head, goals, and total comparison fields are all empty or zero and therefore offer no signal. The team analysis supports the stronger Calahorra profile: they have two wins from three (LWW), including a 2-0 home win over Oyonesa and a 5-3 away win at Agoncillo, whereas Calasancio are winless in three (DLD) with two home draws and an away defeat. Calahorra's goals analysis reinforces that edge, with 8 goals scored at 2.70 per game and none conceded at home, while Calasancio have scored 5 at 1.70 per game and conceded 6 at 2.00, including 4 in their single away match. The over 1.5 component of the advice is consistent with both teams' scoring patterns, since Calahorra have gone over 1.5 in two of three matches and Calasancio in two of three, and Calahorra's goals are spread across the 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 windows. However, the draw probability equal to the home win probability is a real qualification, and Calasancio's two draws plus a clean sheet against Anguiano suggest they can be compact even without winning. The last-five records add a caution about sample size and timing: Calahorra's list includes three defeats from May 2026 against Arnedo, while Calasancio's includes a 2021 draw with Agoncillo and a 2021 loss to Comillas, so the recent three-match form is more relevant than the older entries. With no head-to-head record available, the case rests on current form, goal output, and the Poisson and comparison splits rather than any direct history between these teams. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the Calahorra win and over 1.5 goals, but the elevated draw probability and Calasancio's capacity for low-scoring draws mean the outcome is far from certain.

Predicted winner

Calahorra

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Calahorra and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.