Wales · FAW Championship

Caersws vs Bala Town Prediction

Caersws badgeCaersws vs Bala Town badgeBala Town

Match prediction

  • Caersws and Bala Town share identical 45% home and draw probabilities, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favourite.
  • Caersws's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings explain why the model leans toward the home side despite Bala's stronger win total.
  • Bala's four-match winning streak shows they can score heavily, but recent losses to Mold Alexandra and Denbigh Town expose defensive inconsistency.
  • Caersws's home scoring average of 1.00 is modest, yet their away form of 3.00 goals per game suggests the attack rating may overstate home threat.
  • Both teams concede most goals after halftime, so the double chance is safer than backing a clean result either way.
  • The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests on current form and goal metrics, which slightly favours Caersws avoiding defeat.
Predicted winner
Caersws
Betting advice
Double chance : Caersws or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorCaerswsBala Town
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total63.3%36.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Caersws

Recent form: DWLWWWLW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Bala Town

Recent form: WWWWLWLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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