Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Cabeza Buey vs Villanovense Prediction

Cabeza Buey badgeCabeza Buey vs Villanovense badgeVillanovense

Match prediction

  • Villanovense's superior form, defensive record, and head-to-head edge justify the draw-or-away double chance, though Cabeza Buey's stronger attack warns against backing an outright win.
  • The near-even 45-45 split between away win and draw reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double chance sensibly hedges rather than committing to Villanovense alone.
  • Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5, supporting the under component of the advice despite Cabeza Buey's leaky home defence.
  • Cabeza Buey's attack outperforms Villanovense's on the comparison metric, a counterweight that keeps the home side from being dismissed entirely.
  • Villanovense's two clean sheets and low goals-against average suggest a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with the under 3.5 goals selection.
  • The head-to-head sample is only two matches, so its 80 percent away weighting should be treated cautiously rather than as decisive evidence.
Predicted winner
Villanovense
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Villanovense and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorCabeza BueyVillanovense
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson20.0%80.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total35.7%64.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Cabeza Buey

Recent form: WLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Villanovense

Recent form: LLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Villanovense 3–2 Cabeza Buey (19 Apr 2026)
  2. Cabeza Buey 0–0 Villanovense (14 Dec 2025)
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