Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza Buey vs Villanovense Prediction
Match prediction
- Villanovense's superior form, defensive record, and head-to-head edge justify the draw-or-away double chance, though Cabeza Buey's stronger attack warns against backing an outright win.
- The near-even 45-45 split between away win and draw reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double chance sensibly hedges rather than committing to Villanovense alone.
- Both teams' goal data show every match staying under 3.5, supporting the under component of the advice despite Cabeza Buey's leaky home defence.
- Cabeza Buey's attack outperforms Villanovense's on the comparison metric, a counterweight that keeps the home side from being dismissed entirely.
- Villanovense's two clean sheets and low goals-against average suggest a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with the under 3.5 goals selection.
- The head-to-head sample is only two matches, so its 80 percent away weighting should be treated cautiously rather than as decisive evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Villanovense
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Villanovense and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cabeza Buey | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Poisson | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cabeza Buey
Recent form: WLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Villanovense
Recent form: LLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Villanovense 3–2 Cabeza Buey (19 Apr 2026)
- Cabeza Buey 0–0 Villanovense (14 Dec 2025)


