CA La Paz vs Venados FC Prediction
· Estadio Guaycura
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since Venados' away form is weak but not negligible.
- CA La Paz's superior form, defence, and Poisson ratings align with the home-or-draw advice, though the even split between home and draw tempers confidence.
- Venados' away record of zero wins and four losses in five supports opposing an away victory, reinforcing the double chance selection.
- Both teams' goal totals and recent matches point to at least two goals, supporting the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
- Head-to-head results show CA La Paz with a slight edge, but recent draws and Venados wins indicate the fixture is not one-sided.
- Venados' high-scoring home form contrasts with their away struggles, suggesting the venue matters more than overall attack output.
- Predicted winner
- CA La Paz
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : CA La Paz or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | CA La Paz | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Attack | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
CA La Paz
Recent form: LLWWDWWDWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Venados FC
Recent form: WDWLWLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- CA La Paz 1–0 Venados FC (31 Jan 2026)
- Venados FC 3–3 CA La Paz (23 Aug 2025)
- Venados FC 2–1 CA La Paz (08 Feb 2025)
- CA La Paz 1–1 Venados FC (24 Aug 2024)
- Venados FC 2–3 CA La Paz (28 Apr 2024)