Byåsen vs Orkla Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Byåsen with a "win or draw" call and a combined advice of Byåsen or draw plus over 1.5 goals, though the 45% home and 45% draw probabilities show that this is really a rejection of an Orkla win (10%) rather than a strong home endorsement. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Byåsen leads on form (63 vs 38), defence (72 vs 28), Poisson (59 vs 41), head-to-head (75 vs 25), goals (70 vs 30) and overall total (65.2 vs 35), but only narrowly on attack (52 vs 48), suggesting the edge is broader than it is overwhelming. The team analysis supports that reading: Byåsen's 9-4-7 record over 20 matches is clearly better than Orkla's 5-5-10, yet Byåsen's 2 clean sheets and 5 failed-to-score matches indicate a side that does not dominate every week. Orkla's defensive numbers are the weakest part of the evidence, with 55 goals conceded at 2.80 per game and only 1 clean sheet, which helps explain why the model expects goals even while favouring Byåsen. The goals analysis adds nuance, since Byåsen average 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded while Orkla average 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, and both teams' over 1.5 goal counts (13 and 14 of 20) make the +1.5 component look more comfortable than a higher line would be. Recent form sharpens the contrast: Byåsen's last five include a 6-1 win over Herd, a 4-1 win at Ranheim II and a 2-1 win at Rosenborg II, with only a 1-2 loss to Strindheim and a 0-0 draw with Volda interrupting the run. Orkla's last five are far less convincing, with three draws (2-2, 2-2, 3-3), a 3-1 win over NTNUI and a 2-5 home loss to Spjelkavik, so they have been competitive but rarely dominant. The head-to-head record is the most striking qualifier, because Orkla have not beaten Byåsen in the listed meetings and Byåsen have won four of the last eight completed encounters, including 6-0 and 4-1 away wins, while the most recent meeting in April 2026 finished 3-3. That 3-3 draw is a useful reminder that Orkla can score against Byåsen even in a match the model expects them to avoid winning, which is why the double chance and the +1.5 goals line fit together better than either would alone.

Predicted winner

Byåsen

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Byåsen or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Orkla 3–3 Byåsen (18 Apr 2026)
2. Orkla 0–3 Byåsen (05 Oct 2024)
3. Byåsen 2–2 Orkla (06 Apr 2024)
4. Byåsen 2–2 Orkla (29 Oct 2023)
5. Orkla 0–6 Byåsen (06 May 2023)