Oberliga - Niedersachsen · Germany
BW Lohne vs Hemmingen Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives BW Lohne a 50% home win probability and a 50% draw probability, with Hemmingen at 0%, and frames the advice as a combo double chance on BW Lohne or draw combined with over 1.5 goals. That output is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where BW Lohne leads on form (63.00 vs 38.00), attack (63.00 vs 37.00), defence (68.00 vs 32.00), Poisson (66.00 vs 34.00) and total (65.00 vs 35.30), although the head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all recorded as 0.00 and therefore offer no separating signal. The team analysis reinforces the same direction: BW Lohne's seven-game record of three wins, two draws and two losses is more stable than Hemmingen's two wins, one draw and four losses, and BW Lohne have avoided defeat more often across both home and away splits. The goals analysis adds nuance, since BW Lohne average 2.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game, while Hemmingen average only 1.30 scored but 2.90 conceded, a combination that supports the over 1.5 element of the advice even if the win-or-draw side is less certain. Hemmingen's defensive numbers are the clearest weakness, with 20 goals conceded in seven matches including a 2-6 home loss and a 3-0 away defeat, and they have failed to score three times, which helps explain why the model assigns them no win probability. BW Lohne's last five show three wins, one draw and one loss, including a 4-2 home win over Drochtersen/Assel II and a 3-0 away win at Nordhorn, so their attacking output is not dependent on a single venue. Hemmingen's last five are more volatile, with two wins and three losses, and their two most recent matches were both 0-3 defeats, suggesting a recent downward trend rather than a stable baseline. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to confirm or contradict the model's read, and the 50/50 split between home win and draw implies the model sees the main uncertainty as whether BW Lohne convert superiority into a win or are held. Overall, the evidence supports the double-chance and over 1.5 combination more strongly than it supports a clean BW Lohne victory, but the small seven-game samples and the missing head-to-head data mean this should be treated as a directional lean rather than a firm conclusion.
- Predicted winner
- BW Lohne
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : BW Lohne or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | BW Lohne | Hemmingen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Defence | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
BW Lohne
Recent form: DLWWDWL.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Hemmingen
Recent form: LDLWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


