BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance coherent, since the two outcomes are equally weighted rather than one dominating.
• St. Tönis's superior form, attack, defence, and Poisson ratings all point the same direction, supporting the away side's inclusion in the advice.
• Dingden's 80% head-to-head score is the clearest counterweight, though it rests on only two meetings and conflicts with the broader statistical picture.
• Dingden's 63% goals rating against St. Tönis's 38% suggests the home side can score, which tempers confidence in a clean away result.
• St. Tönis has avoided defeat in six of seven matches and never failed to score, reinforcing the draw-or-away advice over a straight away win.
• Dingden's alternating win-loss form and heavy 0-5 home defeat show volatility, making the 10% home probability plausible despite the head-to-head edge.

Predicted winner

SC St. Tönis

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or SC St. Tönis

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. SC St. Tönis 2–2 BW Dingden (01 Mar 2026)
2. BW Dingden 3–1 SC St. Tönis (07 Sep 2025)