Búzios vs Paraty Prediction
Match prediction
- Both teams have lost all five recent matches, so the model's 45% draw probability reflects genuine parity rather than a safe home edge.
- Paraty's attack rating of 67 against Búzios's 33 supports the away lean, though both sides have scored just once or twice all season.
- Búzios has failed to score in four of five matches, making a home win at 10% the least plausible outcome.
- Paraty's defence is marginally better than Búzios's, but both concede heavily, so the draw-or-Paraty double chance hedges a low-quality contest.
- The lone head-to-head ended 5-0 to Paraty, yet that small sample from a different league season only weakly reinforces the away advantage.
- With both attacks averaging under half a goal per game, the draw half of the double chance carries real weight despite Paraty's superior metrics.
- Predicted winner
- Paraty
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Paraty
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Búzios | Paraty |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Búzios
Recent form: LLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.20 per match.
Paraty
Recent form: LLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Paraty 5–0 Búzios (26 May 2025)