Belarus · 1. Division

Bumprom vs Minsk II Prediction

· SDYuShOR-6 Stadium

Bumprom badgeBumprom vs Minsk II badgeMinsk II

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, justifies the double-chance advice rather than a straight win.
  • Bumprom's far stronger recent form and attack ratings support the home side, though the narrow probability edge keeps the draw cover essential.
  • Minsk II's superior head-to-head record, including two draws and an away win, is the main counterweight tempering confidence in a Bumprom victory.
  • Both teams' goal profiles lean heavily under 2.5, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with the elevated draw probability.
  • Bumprom's strong home scoring and Minsk II's poor home form contrast with Minsk II's better away record, adding uncertainty to the home edge.
  • Minsk II's tendency to concede late and Bumprom's late scoring threat suggest the match could be decided in the closing stages.
Predicted winner
Bumprom
Betting advice
Double chance : Bumprom or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorBumpromMinsk II
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack59.0%41.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Bumprom

Recent form: WDLWLWLWWDWWLLDLDWLWWLLLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Minsk II

Recent form: LWLLLLWWLDLLWLWWWWLWDLLLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Minsk II 1–1 Bumprom (06 Jun 2026)
  2. Minsk II 1–1 Bumprom (20 Sep 2025)
  3. Bumprom 0–1 Minsk II (18 May 2025)
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