Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21 Prediction

Match prediction

• Scotland's perfect head-to-head and goal records, plus stronger form and attack ratings, justify the model favoring them despite the draw-inclusive advice.
• Bulgaria's home defensive solidity, with two clean sheets and no home losses, explains why the draw carries equal probability to a Scotland win.
• The model's Poisson split favoring Bulgaria conflicts with Scotland's superior attack and form, so the double chance hedges that uncertainty.
• Scotland's away form is weaker, losing twice and scoring just five away goals, which tempers confidence in an outright away win.
• Both teams' low-scoring tendencies, with most matches under 2.5 goals, support the cautious draw-or-away advice over a decisive result.
• Scotland's heavy home wins inflate their goal averages, so the away-specific numbers better reflect the tighter contest expected here.

Predicted winner

Scotland U21

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Scotland U21

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Scotland U21 1–0 Bulgaria U21 (18 Nov 2025)