Championnat National · Benin
Buffles vs Ayema Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Buffles a 45% home win and 45% draw against Ayema, leaving only a 10% away probability, so the advice is a double chance on Buffles or draw rather than a straight home victory. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form, attack, defence and Poisson values are all 0.00 for both sides, meaning those inputs carry no separating signal and the probabilities rest mainly on the head-to-head and goals splits. The head-to-head record does lean toward Buffles at 62% versus 38%, and the goals comparison is closer at 45% to 55%, while the total comparison tilts slightly to Buffles at 53.5% to 46.5%, so the evidence is mixed rather than uniformly pro-home. Both teams' performance and goals analysis sections are effectively empty, with zero fixtures played, zero wins, draws and losses, and 0.00 goal averages, which means no current-season form or scoring trend can be used to support or challenge the prediction. The last-five records are the only concrete recent evidence: Buffles have two draws, one win and two defeats, including a 2-3 home loss to Espoir Savalou and a 0-1 away loss to AS Sobemap, while Ayema have two draws, two wins and one defeat, with 1-0 wins over Bani Gansè and Espoir Savalou. That makes Ayema's recent results marginally more positive than Buffles', which sits awkwardly against the 10% away probability and suggests the model is weighting the longer head-to-head history more heavily than this small five-match sample. The head-to-head itself is genuinely mixed: Buffles won 1-0 at home in December 2025 and 3-2 at home in March 2023, but Ayema won 4-1 at home in June 2023 and 2-1 at home in May 2021, with goalless draws in May 2026 and March 2022. Because the most recent meeting was a 0-0 draw and the two teams' last-five sequences both contain multiple draws, the 45% draw probability looks well supported, and that is precisely why the double chance rather than the outright home win is the more defensible expression of this evidence. Overall, the advice is consistent with a head-to-head edge for Buffles and a draw-heavy recent pattern, but it is qualified by Ayema's slightly better last-five results and by the absence of any usable form, attack, defence or goals data.
- Predicted winner
- Buffles
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Buffles or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Buffles | Ayema |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Buffles
Recent form: Not available.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Ayema
Recent form: Not available.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ayema 0–0 Buffles (16 May 2026)
- Buffles 1–0 Ayema (13 Dec 2025)
- Ayema 4–1 Buffles (08 Jun 2023)
- Buffles 3–2 Ayema (04 Mar 2023)
- Ayema 0–0 Buffles (23 Mar 2022)


