Budafoki LC vs Dunaharaszti MTK Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Budafoki LC a 45% home win probability and the draw another 45%, leaving Dunaharaszti MTK only 10%, which frames the double-chance advice toward Budafoki or draw as a cautious reading rather than a strong home-only call. That caution is echoed by the comparison metrics, where Budafoki's form (72.00) and defence (85.00) scores dwarf Dunaharaszti's (28.00 and 15.00), and the Poisson split is maximally one-sided at 100.00 to 0.00, yet the head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all populated with zeros, so those components contribute no separating signal and the overall 70.70 to 29.30 total rests mainly on form, attack and defence. Budafoki's team analysis supports the upper hand: a LWWDWWW sequence with five wins, one draw and one loss from seven, four clean sheets, and a 4-0 home win among a 3.00 goals-per-home-game average, while conceding nothing at home across two fixtures. Dunaharaszti's LLWDWLLD record is noticeably weaker, with only two wins from eight, no clean sheets at all, and a 2.00 goals-against average that includes a 1-5 home defeat and a 2-4 away loss. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, since Budafoki score 2.00 per game overall and concede just 0.90, whereas Dunaharaszti score 1.40 and concede 2.00, and Budafoki's home defensive record of 0.00 goals against per home match is the single most extreme figure in the evidence. The last-five records reinforce the same direction but with a caveat about sample size: Budafoki have four wins and a goalless draw, including 4-0 over Szekszárd and 2-0 over PTE-PEAC, while Dunaharaszti have one win, one draw and three defeats, conceding four or more in three of those five. Dunaharaszti's one clear positive is set-piece conversion, with two penalties scored from two attempts, but that narrow strength is unlikely to offset a defensive profile that has failed to keep a single clean sheet. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to confirm or contradict the form-based read, which means the 45% draw probability is doing real work in the advice rather than being supported by a known series of close meetings. Overall, the evidence points consistently toward Budafoki avoiding defeat, but the unusually high draw share and the absent head-to-head and goals-comparison inputs mean the double chance is a more defensible expression of that evidence than a straight home win.

Predicted winner

Budafoki LC

Betting advice

Double chance : Budafoki LC or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.