Wales · FAW Championship

Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town Prediction

Buckley Town badgeBuckley Town vs Ruthin Town badgeRuthin Town

Match prediction

  • Buckley's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support the home win, though the 45% draw probability signals the model sees this as far from certain.
  • Ruthin's four failed-to-score games and 0.9 goals per game average make a low-scoring away display plausible, yet Buckley's leaky defence keeps the +1.5 goals leg viable.
  • Buckley's 2.3 goals per game and Ruthin's 2.1 conceded per game point toward goals, aligning with the +1.5 threshold rather than a clean-sheet scenario.
  • Head-to-head is mixed with narrow margins and two draws, so the 62% home edge is modest and the combined advice carries real risk.
  • Ruthin's recent 2-0 win over Penrhyncoch shows they can defend, but four losses in five and no away wins undercut their chances at Buckley.
  • Buckley's home scoring of 2.8 per game contrasts sharply with Ruthin's 0.8 away average, reinforcing the home side as the likely dominant force.
Predicted winner
Buckley Town
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Buckley Town and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorBuckley TownRuthin Town
Form77.0%23.0%
Attack89.0%11.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson83.0%17.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals55.0%45.0%
Total71.0%29.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Buckley Town

Recent form: LLDLWLWDW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Ruthin Town

Recent form: LLWDLLLLW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ruthin Town 1–0 Buckley Town (27 Mar 2026)
  2. Buckley Town 3–2 Ruthin Town (15 Aug 2025)
  3. Buckley Town 0–0 Ruthin Town (04 Apr 2025)
  4. Ruthin Town 0–1 Buckley Town (05 Oct 2024)
  5. Buckley Town 2–2 Ruthin Town (12 Jan 2024)
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