Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern
Buchbach vs Eltersdorf Prediction
Match prediction
- Buchbach's unbeaten 11-match record with no losses and no failed-to-score games underpins the double-chance advice, though the 45% draw probability signals a tight contest.
- Eltersdorf's superior head-to-head score of 80 versus 20 is the clearest counterweight, showing historical edge that the model's probabilities largely discount.
- Buchbach's defensive score of 75 against Eltersdorf's 25, combined with a 0.80 goals-against average, explains why the home side is favoured to avoid defeat.
- Eltersdorf's recent three losses in five, including conceding four at home, weaken their case despite the head-to-head record favouring them.
- Buchbach's goals are spread across all match phases, while Eltersdorf concede most late, suggesting Buchbach can sustain pressure throughout.
- The equal 45% home and draw probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty, so the double chance correctly hedges rather than backing an outright Buchbach win.
- Predicted winner
- Buchbach
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Buchbach or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Buchbach | Eltersdorf |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Attack | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Total | 55.7% | 44.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Buchbach
Recent form: DWWDWWWWWWD.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Eltersdorf
Recent form: WLDDWDWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Buchbach 1–1 Eltersdorf (25 Mar 2022)
- Eltersdorf 4–2 Buchbach (31 Aug 2021)


