Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern

Buchbach vs Eltersdorf Prediction

Buchbach badgeBuchbach vs Eltersdorf badgeEltersdorf

Match prediction

  • Buchbach's unbeaten 11-match record with no losses and no failed-to-score games underpins the double-chance advice, though the 45% draw probability signals a tight contest.
  • Eltersdorf's superior head-to-head score of 80 versus 20 is the clearest counterweight, showing historical edge that the model's probabilities largely discount.
  • Buchbach's defensive score of 75 against Eltersdorf's 25, combined with a 0.80 goals-against average, explains why the home side is favoured to avoid defeat.
  • Eltersdorf's recent three losses in five, including conceding four at home, weaken their case despite the head-to-head record favouring them.
  • Buchbach's goals are spread across all match phases, while Eltersdorf concede most late, suggesting Buchbach can sustain pressure throughout.
  • The equal 45% home and draw probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty, so the double chance correctly hedges rather than backing an outright Buchbach win.
Predicted winner
Buchbach
Betting advice
Double chance : Buchbach or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorBuchbachEltersdorf
Form76.0%24.0%
Attack52.0%48.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson73.0%27.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals38.0%63.0%
Total55.7%44.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Buchbach

Recent form: DWWDWWWWWWD.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Eltersdorf

Recent form: WLDDWDWLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Buchbach 1–1 Eltersdorf (25 Mar 2022)
  2. Eltersdorf 4–2 Buchbach (31 Aug 2021)
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