Norway · 3. Division - Girone 6

Brumunddal vs Ørn Horten Prediction

Brumunddal badgeBrumunddal vs Ørn Horten badgeØrn Horten

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away win.
  • Brumunddal's 10% win probability aligns with a form line containing one win in their last five and a six-match losing streak earlier.
  • Ørn Horten's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support their edge, though their recent loss to Oppsal shows that edge is not absolute.
  • The head-to-head sample is a single 6-1 Ørn Horten home win, so it reinforces the away lean without being statistically decisive.
  • Brumunddal concede 4.00 goals per game on average, making the +1.5 goals component of the advice the safest element of the prediction.
  • Ørn Horten's away scoring average of 1.50 is modest, which qualifies the away win probability and explains why the draw carries equal weight.
Predicted winner
Ørn Horten
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Ørn Horten and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorBrumunddalØrn Horten
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack35.0%65.0%
Defence48.0%52.0%
Poisson21.0%79.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals14.0%86.0%
Total30.8%69.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Brumunddal

Recent form: WLLWLLLLLDDLLLLLLDWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Ørn Horten

Recent form: DLWDWDWWDLLWWLLWWLDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ørn Horten 6–1 Brumunddal (02 May 2026)
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