Italy · Serie D - Girone C

Brian Lignano vs Luparense Prediction

Brian Lignano badgeBrian Lignano vs Luparense badgeLuparense

Match prediction

  • Luparense's unbeaten five-match form and three clean sheets sharply contrast Brian Lignano's four defeats, supporting the double-chance advice.
  • The model's 45% draw probability matches Luparense's away win probability, explaining why the safer double chance is advised over a straight away victory.
  • Brian Lignano's 3.50 home goals-against average exposes a defence that Luparense's 2.20 scoring rate should exploit, reinforcing the away-leaning prediction.
  • Luparense's 0.40 goals-against average and three clean sheets suggest Brian Lignano's modest attack may struggle to score, favouring the draw-or-away outcome.
  • Head-to-head favours Brian Lignano 64%, but their current four-loss streak and poor form make that historical edge less reliable for this fixture.
  • Luparense's away form shows two draws and no wins, which tempers confidence in an outright away win and justifies including the draw.
Predicted winner
Luparense
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Luparense
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorBrian LignanoLuparense
Form21.0%79.0%
Attack35.0%65.0%
Defence15.0%85.0%
Poisson23.0%77.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total37.5%62.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Brian Lignano

Recent form: LLLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Luparense

Recent form: WDWDW.

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Luparense 1–1 Brian Lignano (15 Feb 2026)
  2. Brian Lignano 3–0 Luparense (12 Oct 2025)
  3. Luparense 2–1 Brian Lignano (15 Jan 2025)
  4. Brian Lignano 1–0 Luparense (18 Sep 2024)
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