Slovenia · 2. SNL

Brežice vs Primorje Prediction

Brežice badgeBrežice vs Primorje badgePrimorje

Match prediction

  • Brežice's 17 form score and winless eight-match record sharply underpin the low 10% home probability, justifying the draw-or-Primorje double chance.
  • Primorje's 83 form score and two clean sheets suggest superiority, though their away record of no wins in five tempers outright victory confidence.
  • The 45-45 split between away win and draw reflects Primorje's winless away form, making the double chance safer than backing them outright.
  • Brežice concede 2.1 goals per game on average, so Primorje's modest 1.1 scoring rate may still be enough to avoid defeat.
  • Head-to-head favours Primorje 64%, but those meetings are from 2020-2022, limiting their relevance to current form.
  • Poisson slightly favours Brežice at 56%, a conflicting signal that supports covering the draw alongside Primorje.
Predicted winner
Primorje
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Primorje
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorBrežicePrimorje
Form17.0%83.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals17.0%83.0%
Total34.7%65.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Brežice

Recent form: LLLDLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Primorje

Recent form: LWLWDLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Primorje 4–0 Brežice (24 Apr 2022)
  2. Brežice 0–1 Primorje (09 Oct 2021)
  3. Primorje —–— Brežice (18 Apr 2021)
  4. Brežice 1–0 Primorje (26 Sep 2020)
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