Coppa Italia Primavera · Italy

Brescia U19 vs Venezia U19 Prediction

Brescia U19 badgeBrescia U19 vs Venezia U19 badgeVenezia U19

Match prediction

The existing model gives Venezia U19 a 45% chance of winning and Brescia U19 only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, which is why the advice combines a draw-or-Venezia double chance with over 1.5 goals rather than backing a single winner. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form is level at 50.00 for both sides but Venezia leads on attack (57.00 versus 43.00), defence (100.00 versus 0.00), head-to-head (64.00 versus 36.00) and goals (55.00 versus 45.00), while the Poisson values are both 0.00 and therefore offer no separating signal. The team analysis is built on a single match each, so both records show one away win and nothing at home, making the samples too small to treat as stable form. Venezia's 0-4 away win included a clean sheet and four goals, whereas Brescia's 2-3 away win saw them score three but concede twice, which helps explain why the defensive gap is so wide even if it rests on one game. The goals analysis points the same way: Venezia average 4.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded, with their four goals spread across the 46-60, 61-75 and 76-90 windows, while Brescia average 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, including goals against in the 31-45 and 46-60 periods. The last-five records qualify that picture, because Brescia have two wins, two losses and a draw with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded, and Venezia have two wins, two losses and a draw with 11 scored and seven conceded, so neither side arrives in dominant form. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to the away-leaning advice, since the last five meetings produced four draws and one Venezia win, including a 1-1 draw on 19 September 2026 and another 1-1 in March 2026. That pattern of repeated draws supports the draw component of the double chance and the over 1.5 goals line, but it also warns that Venezia's edge in the comparison metrics may not translate into a clear win. Overall, the evidence supports the existing draw-or-Venezia advice with over 1.5 goals as a reasonable but uncertain position, since the head-to-head parity and tiny samples temper the stronger attacking and defensive numbers favouring Venezia.

Predicted winner
Venezia U19
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Venezia U19 and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorBrescia U19Venezia U19
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack43.0%57.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals45.0%55.0%
Total43.5%56.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Brescia U19

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Venezia U19

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Venezia U19 1–1 Brescia U19 (19 Sep 2026)
  2. Venezia U19 1–1 Brescia U19 (07 Mar 2026)
  3. Brescia U19 0–1 Venezia U19 (29 Nov 2025)
  4. Brescia U19 1–1 Venezia U19 (08 Mar 2025)
  5. Venezia U19 2–2 Brescia U19 (14 Dec 2024)
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