Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion
Breitenrain vs Bavois Prediction
Match prediction
- The model gives Breitenrain and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice mainly protects against the away win, which is rated at only 10%.
- Breitenrain's superior recent form and head-to-head record support the home side of the double chance, while Bavois's stronger attack rating warns against backing a straight home win.
- Both defences rate equally at 50, but Breitenrain's attack lags Bavois's, explaining why the model splits its confidence between a home win and a draw.
- Bavois's away form is poor with four losses in five, yet their attack rating is double Breitenrain's, so the draw component of the advice absorbs genuine uncertainty.
- Head-to-head history is mixed, with Bavois winning three of the last ten meetings, which justifies the cautious double-chance approach rather than a single-outcome bet.
- Low goal expectations, with most matches staying under 2.5 goals, suggest a tight contest where the draw probability is as credible as the home win.
- Predicted winner
- Breitenrain
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Breitenrain or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Breitenrain | Bavois |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Breitenrain
Recent form: LDWWLWLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Bavois
Recent form: WDLDLWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bavois 1–1 Breitenrain (14 Feb 2026)
- Breitenrain 1–0 Bavois (02 Aug 2025)
- Breitenrain 1–2 Bavois (26 Apr 2025)
- Bavois 0–1 Breitenrain (23 Oct 2024)
- Breitenrain 4–2 Bavois (13 Apr 2024)


