Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion

Breitenrain vs Bavois Prediction

Breitenrain badgeBreitenrain vs Bavois badgeBavois

Match prediction

  • The model gives Breitenrain and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice mainly protects against the away win, which is rated at only 10%.
  • Breitenrain's superior recent form and head-to-head record support the home side of the double chance, while Bavois's stronger attack rating warns against backing a straight home win.
  • Both defences rate equally at 50, but Breitenrain's attack lags Bavois's, explaining why the model splits its confidence between a home win and a draw.
  • Bavois's away form is poor with four losses in five, yet their attack rating is double Breitenrain's, so the draw component of the advice absorbs genuine uncertainty.
  • Head-to-head history is mixed, with Bavois winning three of the last ten meetings, which justifies the cautious double-chance approach rather than a single-outcome bet.
  • Low goal expectations, with most matches staying under 2.5 goals, suggest a tight contest where the draw probability is as credible as the home win.
Predicted winner
Breitenrain
Betting advice
Double chance : Breitenrain or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorBreitenrainBavois
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total54.5%45.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Breitenrain

Recent form: LDWWLWLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Bavois

Recent form: WDLDLWLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bavois 1–1 Breitenrain (14 Feb 2026)
  2. Breitenrain 1–0 Bavois (02 Aug 2025)
  3. Breitenrain 1–2 Bavois (26 Apr 2025)
  4. Bavois 0–1 Breitenrain (23 Oct 2024)
  5. Breitenrain 4–2 Bavois (13 Apr 2024)
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