Brea vs Andorra CF Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a double chance on Brea or draw, with probabilities of 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice reflects a narrow edge rather than a clear favourite. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Brea leads on form (56.00 vs 44.00), attack (63.00 vs 38.00) and defence (67.00 vs 33.00), yet the head-to-head and goals splits swing sharply toward Andorra CF at 80.00 and 100.00 respectively. The Poisson values are both 0.00, offering no separating signal, while the overall totals are nearly level at 51.50 and 48.80, which helps explain why the model stops short of backing Brea to win outright. Brea's three-match form of DWD includes a 3-0 home win over Illueca plus 1-1 draws away to CD Sietamo and Belchite 97, and they have not lost or failed to score in that run, with one clean sheet. Andorra CF's LDW form is more volatile: a 1-0 home win over Cuarte and a 0-0 draw away to Épila sit alongside a 2-4 home defeat to Binéfar, and they have failed to score once while keeping two clean sheets. The goals analysis reinforces that contrast, as Brea average 1.70 goals scored and only 0.70 conceded, whereas Andorra CF average 1.00 scored and 1.30 conceded, with their four goals against all coming at home. Brea's goal timing is heavily concentrated between 61 and 75 minutes (80% of their total), while Andorra CF's goals are spread evenly across the 46-60, 61-75 and 76-90 windows, suggesting different patterns of when each side threatens. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since Andorra CF won 1-0 at Brea in October 2024 and the February 2025 meeting in Andorra finished 0-0, giving Andorra CF the 80.00 to 20.00 edge and showing Brea have not beaten them in these two recent meetings. With only three league matches played by each side and a small two-match head-to-head sample, these trends are fragile, so the double chance looks like a reasonable hedge rather than a confident call.

Predicted winner

Brea

Betting advice

Double chance : Brea or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Andorra CF 0–0 Brea (16 Feb 2025)
2. Brea 0–1 Andorra CF (06 Oct 2024)