Norway · Toppserien

Brann W vs Fortuna Ålesund W Prediction

· Brann Stadion

Brann W badgeBrann W vs Fortuna Ålesund W badgeFortuna Ålesund W

Match prediction

  • Brann's unbeaten 17-match record and league-best defence justify the double-chance advice, though the 45% draw probability signals the model expects a tight contest.
  • Fortuna's perfect away scoring record and seven converted penalties suggest they can breach Brann's backline, keeping the draw a live outcome.
  • Brann's 100% head-to-head score and superior Poisson rating support their edge, but a single prior meeting makes that signal weak.
  • Both sides arrive in strong form, yet Brann's 13 clean sheets against Fortuna's seven tilt the defensive comparison firmly toward the home side.
  • Fortuna's late-goal tendency, with half their concessions after 76 minutes, could unsettle a Brann side that also scores heavily late.
  • The near-even 45-45 split between home and draw, against Fortuna's 10% win chance, explains why double chance is the safer advice.
Predicted winner
Brann W
Betting advice
Double chance : Brann W or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorBrann WFortuna Ålesund W
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson84.0%16.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total67.0%33.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Brann W

Recent form: WDWWWWWWWWWDWWWWW.

Average goals scored: 3.10 per match.

Fortuna Ålesund W

Recent form: WDLWWWWWLWWWWWWWD.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Fortuna Ålesund W 1–2 Brann W (30 May 2026)
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