Norway · 3. Division - Girone 3

Brann II vs Varegg Prediction

· Varden Amfi

Brann II badgeBrann II vs Varegg badgeVaregg

Match prediction

  • Brann II's superior form, attack, and goal metrics support the home win, though the model's 45% draw probability signals genuine uncertainty.
  • The 45% home and 45% draw probabilities make the win-or-draw market unattractive, which explains the combo advice pairing Brann II with over 1.5 goals.
  • Brann II's 2.50 goals per game and Varegg's 2.00 conceded average make the +1.5 goals component of the combo advice well-founded.
  • Varegg's recent scoring form, including four goals against Os, suggests they can contribute to the goal total despite weaker overall metrics.
  • The lone head-to-head meeting produced four goals in a Brann II away win, reinforcing both the winner and goals components of the advice.
  • Identical 50.00 defence ratings indicate neither side holds a clear defensive edge, so the advice leans on attacking output rather than clean-sheet expectation.
Predicted winner
Brann II
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Brann II and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorBrann IIVaregg
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack63.0%37.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson71.0%29.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total63.4%36.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Brann II

Recent form: WLWDWLWDWDLWWDLLDDWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Varegg

Recent form: LLWLDLLLLDDLWWLLLDWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Varegg 1–3 Brann II (07 Apr 2026)
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