Second Amateur Division - ACFF · Belgium
Braine vs Union Namur Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model favours Braine as the winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only a 10% away share, so the advice is better read as a lean than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Braine dominates form (92.00 vs 8.00), attack (80.00 vs 20.00), defence (81.00 vs 19.00) and Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), yet the head-to-head (20.00 vs 80.00) and goals (20.00 vs 80.00) splits point the other way, leaving the overall total much closer at 58.60 against 41.40. Braine's team analysis supports the stronger side of that split, with four wins and one loss in five, no draws, three clean sheets and no match in which they failed to score. Union Namur's record is the mirror image, showing no wins, one draw and four defeats, a four-match losing streak, four scoreless games and a defence that has conceded 13 times. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast: Braine average 1.60 scored and just 0.60 conceded, while Union Namur average 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, and their away scoring average is 0.00. Braine's last five (WLWWW) include three wins to nil and a single 2-1 defeat, whereas Union Namur's (LLLLD) feature a 5-0 loss at Stade Verviers and a 2-5 home defeat to Ganshoren, with their only point a 0-0 draw against Stockay-Warfusée. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since Union Namur won the most recent meeting 3-1 in April 2022 and Braine's only win in the sample was a 1-0 away result in December 2021, while the two 2020 fixtures were not played. Because that head-to-head evidence comes from the Third Amateur Division in 2020-2022 and rests on a small number of completed matches, it may be less informative than the current-season form and goal data, which jointly explain why the model still leans toward Braine despite the split probabilities.
- Predicted winner
- Braine
- Betting advice
- Winner : Braine
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Braine | Union Namur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92.0% | 8.0% |
| Attack | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Defence | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Total | 58.6% | 41.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Braine
Recent form: WLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Union Namur
Recent form: LLLLD.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Union Namur 3–1 Braine (30 Apr 2022)
- Braine 0–1 Union Namur (05 Dec 2021)
- Braine —–— Union Namur (10 Apr 2021)
- Union Namur —–— Braine (07 Nov 2020)