Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Match prediction
- Botev Plovdiv's perfect home record with nine clean sheets in twelve matches underpins the defensive edge that justifies the double-chance advice.
- Septemvri Sofia's away form is weak, with one win in two away fixtures and recent losses, supporting the draw-or-home recommendation.
- The head-to-head record favors Botev Plovdiv, including a recent 3-0 away win, reinforcing their superiority in this matchup.
- Botev Plovdiv's attack averages 2.40 goals per home game while conceding only 0.30, a dominance that makes an upset unlikely.
- Septemvri Sofia's defence concedes 1.60 goals per game on average, a vulnerability that could prevent them from securing a win.
- The draw probability of 45% matches the home win, suggesting the model sees a close contest despite Botev's statistical advantages.
- Predicted winner
- Botev Plovdiv
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Botev Plovdiv or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Botev Plovdiv | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Total | 72.7% | 27.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Botev Plovdiv
Recent form: WWWWWWWWWLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Septemvri Sofia
Recent form: LWLLLWWLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Septemvri Sofia 0–3 Botev Plovdiv (19 Sep 2026)
- Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Septemvri Sofia (03 Mar 2026)
- Septemvri Sofia 1–3 Botev Plovdiv (21 Sep 2025)
- Botev Plovdiv 3–0 Septemvri Sofia (12 Apr 2025)
- Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Botev Plovdiv (04 Nov 2024)