Botev Novi Pazar vs Aksakovo Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away side carries only a 10% win probability.
• Botev Novi Pazar's defensive score of 73 against Aksakovo's 27 supports the home-or-draw lean, though the away attack rating of 54 slightly qualifies it.
• Aksakovo's 75% head-to-head edge conflicts with the model's low away probability, but those wins came mostly at home and reflect older form.
• Botev's unbeaten home record with two clean sheets strengthens the draw component, as their home matches have produced few goals.
• Aksakovo's 3.30 goals-against average and zero clean sheets make an away win unlikely, reinforcing the double-chance selection.
• The Poisson split of 89 to 11 is the strongest single signal behind the advice, outweighing the head-to-head and attack metrics.

Predicted winner

Botev Novi Pazar

Betting advice

Double chance : Botev Novi Pazar or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Aksakovo 2–1 Botev Novi Pazar (21 Mar 2026)
2. Botev Novi Pazar 2–1 Aksakovo (13 Sep 2025)
3. Aksakovo 4–1 Botev Novi Pazar (03 May 2025)
4. Botev Novi Pazar 0–2 Aksakovo (09 Feb 2025)