Brazil · Copa do Brasil U20

Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20 Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Bahia U20 and +14.5 goals

Botafogo U20 badgeBotafogo U20 vs Bahia U20 badgeBahia U20

Match prediction

  • Bahia's 45% win probability and 80% attack rating justify favoring them, though the identical 45% draw share signals real uncertainty.
  • Bahia's 16-0 win inflates their scoring metrics, but their 8-0 and 7-0 results show genuine attacking form beyond one outlier.
  • Botafogo's recent 0-3 and 0-1 defeats against stronger opposition suggest their defence may struggle against Bahia's scoring output.
  • The +14.5 goals advice looks extreme given head-to-head matches produced only one, three, and one goals across three meetings.
  • Both teams' 0% defence ratings and clean sheets reflect tiny one-match samples, weakening any firm conclusion about defensive solidity.
  • Botafogo's 67% head-to-head advantage conflicts with Bahia's superior attack and goals metrics, making the away win less certain than probabilities suggest.
Predicted winner
Bahia U20
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Bahia U20 and +14.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+14.5

Prediction comparison

FactorBotafogo U20Bahia U20
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack20.0%80.0%
Defence0.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h67.0%33.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total44.3%55.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Botafogo U20

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Bahia U20

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 16.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Botafogo U20 1–0 Bahia U20 (22 Apr 2026)
  2. Bahia U20 3–0 Botafogo U20 (16 Jul 2025)
  3. Botafogo U20 1–0 Bahia U20 (19 Jul 2024)
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