3. Division - Girone 5 · Norway

Bossekop vs Skjetten Prediction

Bossekop badgeBossekop vs Skjetten badgeSkjetten

Match prediction

The existing model gives Skjetten a combined 90% chance of avoiding defeat, with the draw and away win each at 45% and Bossekop's win at only 10%, so the advice of a draw-or-Skjetten double chance with over 2.5 goals rests on a clear but not overwhelming edge. That edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Skjetten leads on attack (58 vs 42), defence (61 vs 39), Poisson (68 vs 32) and goals (69 vs 31), while Bossekop's only advantage is a modest form score of 53 against 47. The head-to-head split is perfectly even at 50-50, which qualifies the overall picture, although the most recent meeting in July 2026 was a 6-0 Skjetten home win and the 2022 fixtures produced a draw and a narrow 3-2 Bossekop win. Bossekop's team analysis shows a 5-4-11 record with no clean sheets in 20 matches, a four-game losing streak within their form string, and heavy defeats such as 11-0 and 1-6 that underline their defensive fragility. Skjetten's 9-3-8 record is stronger, they have never failed to score in 20 games, and their form string includes a four-win streak, though their own four-loss streak shows they are far from invulnerable. The goals analysis supports the over 2.5 element: Bossekop concede 3.40 per game overall and 4.10 away, while Skjetten score 2.50 per game and 2.80 at home, and Bossekop's matches have gone over 2.5 goals only 4 times in 20, which is a notable counterweight. Skjetten's scoring is front-loaded, with 22.45% of their goals in the first 15 minutes, whereas Bossekop concede 28.36% of their goals after the 76th minute, suggesting late goals could inflate the total. The last-five records show Bossekop with two wins, one draw and two losses including the 11-0 defeat, while Skjetten have three wins, one draw and one loss, most recently a 6-1 home win over Skjervøy. Overall, the evidence points toward Skjetten avoiding defeat in a high-scoring game, but the even head-to-head record and Bossekop's occasional wins mean the double chance is a hedge rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner
Skjetten
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Skjetten and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorBossekopSkjetten
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence39.0%61.0%
Poisson32.0%68.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals31.0%69.0%
Total41.2%58.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Bossekop

Recent form: LLLLDWLLLDWLLLWDWLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Skjetten

Recent form: DLLWWLLLLWDWWWWLDWLW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Skjetten 6–0 Bossekop (26 Jul 2026)
  2. Skjetten 1–1 Bossekop (21 Aug 2022)
  3. Bossekop 3–2 Skjetten (24 Apr 2022)
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