Bospor Bohumín vs Vratimov Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Bospor Bohumín, pairing a 45% home win probability with a 45% draw and only 10% for Vratimov, and its advice of a Bospor win combined with over 1.5 goals reflects that narrow but clear edge. That edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Bospor leads on form (56 vs 44), attack (68 vs 32), Poisson (72 vs 28), head-to-head (71 vs 29), goals (60 vs 40) and overall total (63.7 vs 36.3), suggesting the preference rests on a broad statistical advantage rather than a single indicator. Bospor's team analysis supports this, showing a perfect seven wins from seven with no draws or defeats, including a 5-1 home win and a 0-5 away win, although the absence of clean sheets at home hints their matches still carry defensive risk. Vratimov's record is more mixed at five wins and two losses from seven, with a four-match winning streak interrupted by defeats such as the 3-0 loss at Opava II, so they are capable but less consistent. The goals analysis sharpens the over 1.5 element: Bospor average 3.90 goals scored per match and have gone over 1.5 in all seven games, while Vratimov average 2.00 and have exceeded 1.5 in five of seven, making a low-scoring shutout less likely. Defensively, Bospor concede 1.00 per game and Vratimov 1.30, and neither side has seen a match go over 2.5 goals against them, which tempers expectations of a high-scoring blowout even if the 1.5 line looks comfortable. The last-five records echo the same pattern, with Bospor winning all five while scoring at least three in each, whereas Vratimov won four of five but were blanked in their only loss. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since Vratimov won the most recent meeting 3-1 in April 2026 and also won 2-4 at Vratimov in 2024, though Bospor won the other home fixtures 3-1 and 2-0 and drew 1-1 away. Overall, the evidence supports the existing Bospor-and-over-1.5 advice, but the 45% draw probability and Vratimov's recent head-to-head wins mean this should be treated as a modest, uncertain lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

Bospor Bohumín

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Bospor Bohumín and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Vratimov 3–1 Bospor Bohumín (11 Apr 2026)
2. Bospor Bohumín 3–1 Vratimov (07 Sep 2025)
3. Vratimov 1–1 Bospor Bohumín (17 May 2025)
4. Bospor Bohumín 3–1 Vratimov (13 Oct 2024)
5. Vratimov 2–4 Bospor Bohumín (16 Mar 2024)