Borac Cacak vs TSC Backa Topola Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward TSC Backa Topola avoiding defeat, with a 45% draw and 45% away-win probability against only 10% for a Borac Cacak victory, so the double-chance advice reflects a fixture where the home side is given little outright upside. That caution is partly supported by the comparison metrics, where TSC lead on attack (53 vs 47), defence (56 vs 44), Poisson (53 vs 47), head-to-head (80 vs 20) and total (57 vs 43), while Borac's only clear edge is form at 57 versus 43. The form picture is genuinely mixed, though, because Borac's last five produced four wins and one loss, including away victories at Teleoptik, OFK Bor 1919 and OFK Vrsac, whereas TSC's last five were three draws and two wins, with goalless and one-all stalemates against Dubocica and Naftagas suggesting a team that is hard to beat but not always incisive. TSC's broader ten-match record reinforces that impression: five wins, five draws and no defeats, with a seven-match unbeaten run implied by zero losses and a biggest win of 4-0 at home, while Borac's 8-0-2 record shows more wins but also more vulnerability. The goals analysis adds nuance, as both teams scored 18 goals across ten games, yet TSC's defensive average of 1.00 conceded is slightly better than Borac's 1.10, and TSC's home concession rate of 0.70 is notably tighter than their away rate of 1.50. Borac's scoring is heavily weighted late, with 38.89% of their goals arriving between minutes 76 and 90, which could keep them competitive even if they trail, while TSC spread goals more evenly and scored 16.67% inside the opening fifteen minutes. The head-to-head record is small and dated, comprising only two 2018 meetings in which TSC won 3-0 away and drew 0-0 away, so its 80-20 split should be treated as a weak signal rather than a reliable pattern. The goals comparison column is also lopsided at 0 versus 100, but that single metric sits awkwardly beside the near-identical total scoring output and the high draw share in both teams' recent records. Overall, the evidence jointly supports the draw-or-TSC advice through TSC's unbeaten profile, superior defensive and Poisson metrics, and head-to-head edge, but Borac's stronger recent form and late-scoring habit qualify that view and make a narrow, low-margin contest plausible rather than certain.

Predicted winner

TSC Backa Topola

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or TSC Backa Topola

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Borac Cacak 0–3 TSC Backa Topola (10 Mar 2019)
2. TSC Backa Topola 0–0 Borac Cacak (13 Oct 2018)