Bom Jesus EC vs Trindade Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% home win split makes double chance the logical expression of a fixture lacking a clear favourite.
- Bom Jesus's superior attack and defensive metrics, plus a perfect head-to-head record, underpin the home side of that double chance.
- Trindade's stronger recent form and away clean-sheet drought create genuine counterweight, explaining why the win probability is capped at 45%.
- Both teams' goal profiles show no match exceeding 2.5 goals, supporting the draw component of the advice.
- Bom Jesus's tendency toward draws, with seven in fifteen matches, reinforces the draw leg rather than a standalone home victory.
- Trindade's poor away record, no wins and no clean sheets, tilts the safer double chance toward Bom Jesus despite their inferior form.
- Predicted winner
- Bom Jesus EC
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Bom Jesus EC or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bom Jesus EC | Trindade |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Poisson | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bom Jesus EC
Recent form: DWWDDWWWLWLDDDD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Trindade
Recent form: LDLLDDLDLDLLWDW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Trindade 0–2 Bom Jesus EC (01 Aug 2026)