Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · Spain

Bollullos vs San Roque Lepe Prediction

Bollullos badgeBollullos vs San Roque Lepe badgeSan Roque Lepe

Match prediction

The existing model favours Bollullos as the winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear separation, with San Roque Lepe at only 10%. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form is dead level at 50.00 for both sides, meaning the model's preference comes from other inputs rather than recent momentum. The sharper splits appear in attack (60.00 vs 40.00), defence (45.00 vs 55.00), Poisson (75.00 vs 25.00), head-to-head (80.00 vs 20.00), goals (67.00 vs 33.00) and total (62.80 vs 37.20), all pointing the same direction but largely echoing one another rather than adding independent confirmation. Both teams' performance analysis shows identical three-match records of no wins, one draw and two defeats, with Bollullos on LDL and San Roque Lepe on DLL, so the form parity is real and the distinction between them is thin. The goals analysis offers the clearest qualification: Bollullos have scored three goals but all at home, averaging 3.00 there against 0.00 away, while San Roque Lepe have managed just two goals in three games and failed to score in one. Defensively both look vulnerable, with Bollullos conceding six goals at 2.00 per game and San Roque Lepe five at 1.70, and neither has kept a clean sheet, which tempers confidence in a home win. The last-five records extend the same pattern, as Bollullos have lost three of five with a 3-3 home draw against Betis C, while San Roque Lepe have lost four of five and scored only twice in that span. The head-to-head record is the strongest single support for the advice, since Bollullos won 2-0 away at San Roque Lepe in October 2025 and 2-1 there in February 2025, with the two home meetings in Bollullos ending 0-0 and 2-2. Overall, the evidence leans toward Bollullos without being decisive, because the equal form and draw-heavy probabilities suggest the 45% draw is a genuine alternative rather than a negligible outcome.

Predicted winner
Bollullos
Betting advice
Winner : Bollullos
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorBollullosSan Roque Lepe
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson75.0%25.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total62.8%37.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Bollullos

Recent form: LDL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

San Roque Lepe

Recent form: DLL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bollullos 2–2 San Roque Lepe (08 Mar 2026)
  2. San Roque Lepe 0–2 Bollullos (26 Oct 2025)
  3. San Roque Lepe 1–2 Bollullos (02 Feb 2025)
  4. Bollullos 0–0 San Roque Lepe (22 Sep 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…