Böljan vs Jonsered Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's home and draw probabilities are equal at 35%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
• Böljan's superior attack and Poisson ratings support the home side, but Jonsered's head-to-head dominance and goal metrics pull the other way.
• Jonsered's away form is weak with five losses and four failures to score, which supports the advice despite their strong head-to-head record.
• Both teams' recent matches were low-scoring, suggesting the draw component of the double chance carries real weight.
• Böljan's home scoring is notably stronger than their away output, reinforcing the value of covering the draw rather than backing a straight win.
• The head-to-head sample is small and all three meetings were won by the home side, limiting its predictive weight for this fixture.

Predicted winner

Böljan

Betting advice

Double chance : Böljan or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Jonsered 3–0 Böljan (17 Apr 2026)
2. Böljan 2–0 Jonsered (08 Aug 2025)
3. Jonsered 3–0 Böljan (28 Mar 2025)