USA · USL League One

Boise vs Greenville Triumph Prediction

Boise badgeBoise vs Greenville Triumph badgeGreenville Triumph

Match prediction

  • Boise's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings justify favoring them, though the model's equal home and draw probabilities explain the double-chance advice.
  • Greenville's five straight defeats, including a six-goal away loss, sharply undercut their head-to-head win and make an outright away victory unlikely.
  • Boise's strong home record and Greenville's single away win this season support the home side, but the draw probability signals the model expects a close contest.
  • Greenville's low scoring away average and frequent failures to score weaken their case, yet Boise's tendency toward draws keeps the double chance prudent.
  • The head-to-head sample is a single match, so Greenville's win there should not outweigh Boise's far stronger current form and overall metrics.
  • Boise's defensive solidity at home against Greenville's weak away attack makes a loss improbable, aligning with the advice covering both home win and draw.
Predicted winner
Boise
Betting advice
Double chance : Boise or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorBoiseGreenville Triumph
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack73.0%27.0%
Defence73.0%27.0%
Poisson80.0%20.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total66.5%33.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Boise

Recent form: WLDDWWLWLLDWLWLWWWLDWDWWWDDL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Greenville Triumph

Recent form: LWWLLLDLWLLWDLLWDLDDLWLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Greenville Triumph 3–2 Boise (30 Jul 2026)
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