Boiro vs Villalbés Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Villalbés with a win-or-draw call and a combo advice of draw or Villalbés plus over 2.5 goals, though the 10% home, 45% draw and 45% away probabilities show that this is really a two-way toss-up between a draw and an away win rather than a clear Villalbés edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Boiro actually leads on form (56 vs 44), attack (54 vs 46) and Poisson (54 vs 46), while Villalbés' advantages are concentrated in defence (33 vs 67) and goals (100 vs 0), and the head-to-head split (33 vs 67) tilts toward the away side. The overall totals are nearly level at 52.80 versus 47.20, which suggests the model sees these teams as closely matched despite the divergent category strengths. Boiro's team analysis shows a perfect WWW start across three matches with seven goals scored and only two conceded, including two away clean sheets, so their defensive numbers are stronger than the low 67 defence rating implies. Villalbés' DWW record is slightly less dominant, with six goals scored and four conceded, one home clean sheet and one failure to score, which explains why their form and attack ratings trail even though their defensive rating is the best single metric in the comparison. The goals analysis adds nuance: Boiro average 2.30 goals scored and just 0.70 conceded, while Villalbés average 2.00 scored and 1.30 conceded, so both teams contribute to the over 2.5 case, but Boiro's low concession rate slightly undercuts the expectation of a high-scoring away win. The last-five records show Boiro with four wins and a draw, including 2-0 wins at Silva and Celtiga and a 3-2 home win over Coruña, while Villalbés have two wins, two draws and a heavy 6-1 loss at Compostela, a result that sits awkwardly with their strong defensive rating. The head-to-head record is the most direct qualifier of the advice: the last four meetings produced three 0-0 draws and a single 1-0 Villalbés home win, so the historical evidence points toward low-scoring, draw-heavy contests rather than the over 2.5 goals the combo advice requires. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance element of the prediction more than the goals element, since the draw probability, the recent head-to-head stalemates and Boiro's solid defensive start all argue for a tight match, while the over 2.5 component rests mainly on Villalbés' goal involvement and the teams' combined scoring averages rather than on their direct encounters.

Predicted winner

Villalbés

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Villalbés and +2.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Boiro 0–0 Villalbés (05 Apr 2026)
2. Villalbés 0–0 Boiro (23 Nov 2025)
3. Villalbés 1–0 Boiro (02 Mar 2025)
4. Boiro 0–0 Villalbés (20 Oct 2024)